IFK Österaker 0-2 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.46
No
54%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.1pp
54%
BTTS No
36%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Österaker EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 49%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.90/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.49
-41% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Österaker
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Jarfalla
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
20.08.2023 Jarfalla Jarfalla 5-1 HT 2-1 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
23.04.2023 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker 4-0 HT 2-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
02.10.2022 Jarfalla Jarfalla 2-1 HT 2-0 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
09.10.2021 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker 3-2 HT 0-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
05.06.2021 Jarfalla Jarfalla 3-2 HT 0-0 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Österaker vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla got the better of IFK Österaker 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jarfalla as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jarfalla led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for IFK Österaker and 2.40 for Jarfalla.

What was the final score of IFK Österaker vs Jarfalla?

IFK Österaker 0-2 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Österaker vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split IFK Österaker 32%, draw 20%, Jarfalla 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarfalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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