IFK Östersund 2-1 Lucksta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
55%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.7pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucksta EU Bookmakers 27%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.59/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-25% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH IFK Östersund vs Lucksta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Östersund squeezed past Lucksta 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Östersund as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of IFK Östersund vs Lucksta?

IFK Östersund 2-1 Lucksta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Östersund vs Lucksta?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Östersund win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split IFK Östersund 54%, draw 25%, Lucksta 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Östersund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Östersund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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