IFK Kumla 4-4 BK Forward — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
17%
3.54
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
16%
Draw
25%
-8.4pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+9.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Forward EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.10/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.09
+7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
0W-0D-3L
AWAY BK Forward
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
04.08.2021 IFK Kumla 0-1 HT 0-1 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
09.06.2021 BK Forward BK Forward 3-1 HT 3-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
17.08.2020 BK Forward BK Forward 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs BK Forward
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla and BK Forward couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 0-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 16% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, BK Forward led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for IFK Kumla and 1.67 for BK Forward.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs BK Forward?

IFK Kumla 4-4 BK Forward in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs BK Forward?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 43%, draw 16%, BK Forward 40%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (IFK Kumla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✓ Over 2.5
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