Karlshamn 1-2 Österlen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+12.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
49%
-14.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Österlen EU Bookmakers 54%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.68/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.32
+20% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Österlen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.09.2020 Österlen Österlen 3-1 HT 1-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs Österlen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen squeezed past Karlshamn 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Österlen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs Österlen?

Karlshamn 1-2 Österlen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs Österlen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlshamn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 39%, draw 26%, Österlen 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlshamn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlshamn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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