04/05/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Karlshamn vs Österlen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
26%
Draw
24%
35%
Away Win
49%
46%
Under 2.5
38%
54%
Over 2.5
62%
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
44%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karlshamn v Österlen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Karlshamn
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Österlen
EU Bookmakers 54%
+29% /
+29%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-10%
1.68/1.06
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.67/1.32
+20%
/
+69%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-9%
/
+1%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
312 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
442 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Karlshamn vs Österlen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Karlshamn
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Österlen
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
06.09.2020
Österlen
3-1
HT 1-0
Karlshamn
İSÇ4
3-1
HT 1-0
Karlshamn
İSÇ4
POST-MATCH
Karlshamn vs Österlen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Österlen squeezed past Karlshamn 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Österlen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Karlshamn vs Österlen?
Karlshamn 1-2 Österlen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs Österlen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karlshamn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 39%, draw 26%, Österlen 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlshamn) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Karlshamn)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
4 May 2024