Simrishamn 1-1 FK Karlskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simrishamn EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 56%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.76/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.55
+98% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Simrishamn
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Karlskrona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
22.10.2023 Simrishamn Simrishamn 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
10.06.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-3 HT 2-0 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Simrishamn vs FK Karlskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simrishamn and FK Karlskrona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Karlskrona at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Simrishamn and 2.50 for FK Karlskrona.

What was the final score of Simrishamn vs FK Karlskrona?

Simrishamn 1-1 FK Karlskrona in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simrishamn vs FK Karlskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Simrishamn 35%, draw 21%, FK Karlskrona 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Karlskrona), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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