Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 Hapoel Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.8
Draw
40%
2.94
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.59
Over 2.5
32%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
4.85
6+ Goals
5%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 38% vs market 34.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
30%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
32%
-7.2pp
40%
Draw
31%
+9.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.82/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.98
-30% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.1 Crosses 18.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.89 xG 3.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
231 Passes 357
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2024 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 3-2 HT 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
30.12.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-2 HT 0-2 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
1-0
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Petah Tikva edged past Hapoel Jerusalem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 40% / 35% — and on the day Hapoel Petah Tikva made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

On the day, Hapoel Petah Tikva had 47% of the ball to Hapoel Jerusalem's 53%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hapoel Jerusalem led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 2.50 for Hapoel Jerusalem.

What was the final score of Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 Hapoel Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Petah Tikva 25%, draw 40%, Hapoel Jerusalem 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSR More Israel - Ligat HaAl
4 May 2024
17:00 Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Analysis →
18:00 Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Analysis →
20:00 Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Haifa Analysis →