Maccabi Netanya 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.58/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.70
-23% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.4 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Netanya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
326 Passes 208
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
06.01.2024 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 2-1 HT 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
02.09.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 HT 1-0 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Netanya
0-1
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.48 xG 0.44
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
385 Passes 144
77% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Tel Aviv squeezed past Maccabi Netanya 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hapoel Tel Aviv found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maccabi Netanya had 68% of the ball to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 32%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.48 to 0.44 — on chances, Maccabi Netanya could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maccabi Netanya and 1.50 for Hapoel Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Netanya 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Netanya 37%, draw 30%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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