Hapoel Haifa 2-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.81
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
14%
20.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.22 — our 23% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 50%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.70/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.16
+90% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -22%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
20.0 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Haifa
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
370 Passes 297
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
11.03.2024 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
26.12.2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Haifa
2-0
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.13 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
278 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Haifa saw off Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hapoel Haifa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hapoel Haifa had 46% of the ball to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 54%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.13 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hapoel Beer Sheva led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hapoel Haifa and 2.00 for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

What was the final score of Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Hapoel Haifa 2-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Haifa 34%, draw 28%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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