Hapoel Jerusalem 3-2 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
42%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.28
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.37
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
43%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
41%
Away Win
27%
+14.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 31%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.71/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.18
-6% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 69%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.0 Crosses 24.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.67 xG 0.34
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
402 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.12.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-2 HT 0-2 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
3-2
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
2.58 xG 1.43
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
312 Passes 228
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Jerusalem squeezed past Hapoel Petah Tikva 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hapoel Petah Tikva at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Jerusalem had 56% of the ball to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 44%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.58 to 1.43.

What was the final score of Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Hapoel Jerusalem 3-2 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Jerusalem 32%, draw 26%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Petah Tikva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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