Maccabi Netanya 1-3 Hapoel Eran Hadera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 26%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.59/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.08
-31% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
16.8 Crosses 14.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Netanya
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 262
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-4 HT 0-2 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSR
30.07.2023 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 3-1 HT 0-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Netanya
1-3
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
2.62 xG 1.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 0
455 Passes 224
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Eran Hadera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Eran Hadera saw off Maccabi Netanya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Netanya at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Maccabi Netanya had 64% of the ball to Hapoel Eran Hadera's 36%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.62 to 1.22 — the balance of chances actually favoured Maccabi Netanya.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Netanya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Maccabi Netanya and 1.00 for Hapoel Eran Hadera.

What was the final score of Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Maccabi Netanya 1-3 Hapoel Eran Hadera in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Netanya 44%, draw 29%, Hapoel Eran Hadera 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maccabi Netanya), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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