Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 16 Mar 2024

Maccabi Petah Tikva
0-3 HT 0-1
Beitar Jerusalem
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2023/2024

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.21
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
12%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maccabi Petah Tikva v Beitar Jerusalem — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.62/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.96
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
15.8 Crosses 16.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.72 xG 2.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
353 Passes 378
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 33
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.12.2023 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 3-2 HT 3-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR

Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
0-3
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
1.26 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
230 Passes 297
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beitar Jerusalem cruised past Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Beitar Jerusalem found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Petah Tikva had 46% of the ball to Beitar Jerusalem's 54%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.26 to 1.26.

What was the final score of Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Petah Tikva 37%, draw 26%, Beitar Jerusalem 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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