Brest 0-0 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 4 May 2024

Brest
0-0 HT 0-0
Nantes
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.84
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
15%
3.8
X/2
8%
9.65
X/X
9%
4.55
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
10%
8.12
2/X
7%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +25%
1.63/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.28
+7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +38%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.2 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nantes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.12.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
03.05.2023 Brest Brest 2-0 HT 2-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
16.10.2022 Nantes Nantes 4-1 HT 2-1 Brest Brest FR1
10.04.2022 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
28.01.2022 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FRK
22.09.2021 Nantes Nantes 3-1 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
0-0
AWAY Nantes
0.49 xG 1.60
72% Ball Possession 28%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
617 Passes 181
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brest vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest and Nantes fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Brest at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Brest had 72% of the ball to Nantes's 28%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.49 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brest and 1.67 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Brest vs Nantes?

Brest 0-0 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Brest 53%, draw 24%, Nantes 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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