Monaco 4-1 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 4 May 2024

Monaco
4-1 HT 2-1
Clermont
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Monaco vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.17
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.36
2-3 Goals
39%
2.35
4-5 Goals
27%
2.38
6+ Goals
13%
4.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.54
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.4
X/1
19%
3.88
X/2
7%
16.8
X/X
8%
9.56
2/1
5%
17.6
2/2
8%
10.55
2/X
6%
19.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-7.8pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.4pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.9pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monaco v Clermont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.87/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.02
+2% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.9 Crosses 13.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Monaco vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Clermont
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.07 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
346 Passes 438
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Clermont Clermont 2-4 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
05.02.2023 Clermont Clermont 0-2 HT 0-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
16.10.2022 Monaco Monaco 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
16.01.2022 Monaco Monaco 4-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
26.09.2021 Clermont Clermont 1-3 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
22.04.2013 Monaco Monaco 4-0 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR2

Monaco 4-1 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
4-1
AWAY Clermont
3.67 xG 1.43
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
486 Passes 269
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco swept aside Clermont 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monaco had 62% of the ball to Clermont's 38%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 3.67 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Monaco and 0.67 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Clermont?

Monaco 4-1 Clermont in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Monaco 62%, draw 20%, Clermont 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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