Le Havre 3-1 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 4 May 2024

Le Havre
3-1 HT 1-0
RC Strasbourg
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.64
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.67
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
18%
5.02
X/2
8%
5.57
X/X
11%
3.96
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
19%
4.24
2/X
10%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.32/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
-20% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.7 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
1W-1D-4L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 1.56
56% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
395 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 2-1 Le Havre Le Havre FRK
10.12.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
28.04.2017 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
29.11.2016 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR2
07.05.2010 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
22.12.2009 Le Havre Le Havre 3-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR2

Le Havre 3-1 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
3-1
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.83 xG 1.02
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
253 Passes 486
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre got the better of RC Strasbourg 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Le Havre found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Le Havre had 39% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 61%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.83 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Havre and 1.50 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg?

Le Havre 3-1 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 38%, draw 27%, RC Strasbourg 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Havre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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