Skjetten 1-3 Lorenskog — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.33
Over Pick
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
46%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skjetten EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorenskog EU Bookmakers 45%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.38/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.25/2.29
+22% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skjetten
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lorenskog
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16.10.2022 Lorenskog Lorenskog 5-1 HT 1-1 Skjetten Skjetten NOR4
18.06.2022 Skjetten Skjetten 0-1 HT 0-0 Lorenskog Lorenskog NOR4
POST-MATCH Skjetten vs Lorenskog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorenskog beat Skjetten 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lorenskog as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lorenskog led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Skjetten and 3.00 for Lorenskog.

What was the final score of Skjetten vs Lorenskog?

Skjetten 1-3 Lorenskog in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skjetten vs Lorenskog?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorenskog win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Skjetten 32%, draw 24%, Lorenskog 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorenskog), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorenskog) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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