Rangers 1-1 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.27
2-3 Goals
40%
2.03
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.01
1/2
11%
22.45
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
13%
6.67
X/2
9%
5.68
X/X
10%
5.87
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.14
2/X
9%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.0pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -26%
1.52/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.00
+38% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -55%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 78%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.8 Crosses 13.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Celtic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.47
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
236 Passes 492
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Celtic Celtic 2-3 HT 0-2 Rangers Rangers İKP
02.01.2025 Rangers Rangers 3-0 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
15.12.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKLK
01.09.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 2-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
25.05.2024 Celtic Celtic 1-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKK
11.05.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 2-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
1-1
AWAY Celtic
1.46 xG 1.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
250 Passes 413
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rangers vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers and Celtic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rangers had 40% of the ball to Celtic's 60%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.46 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rangers and 1.83 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Rangers vs Celtic?

Rangers 1-1 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rangers 36%, draw 27%, Celtic 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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