Celtic vs Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celtic v Rangers — Team-Based Signals
Celtic vs Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celtic 2-3 Rangers — Actual Match Statistics
Rangers edged past Celtic 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celtic at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Celtic had 72% of the ball to Rangers's 28%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.88 to 1.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Celtic.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celtic and 1.67 for Rangers.
What was the final score of Celtic vs Rangers?
Celtic 2-3 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celtic vs Rangers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Celtic 55%, draw 23%, Rangers 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No went the other way.