Dundee United 2-4 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.48
X/2
10%
8.06
X/X
13%
4.88
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
11%
6.17
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.36/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.49
+14% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 70%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
25.7 Crosses 19.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 205
66% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKK
02.01.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 2-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
09.04.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
01.02.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
19.09.2021 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
2-4
AWAY Dundee FC
1.20 xG 2.27
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
234 Passes 118
66% Pass Accuracy 52%
29 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC beat Dundee United 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dundee United had 61% of the ball to Dundee FC's 39%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.20 to 2.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee United and 1.00 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Dundee FC?

Dundee United 2-4 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 46%, draw 27%, Dundee FC 27%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Under 2.5
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