Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Newcastle United
İNP
4-1
HT 2-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Newcastle United
İNP
2-1
HT 2-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 46% of the ball to Newcastle United's 54%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.69 to 1.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.33 for Newcastle United.
What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United?
Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 35%, draw 25%, Newcastle United 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5 went the other way.