Levante 1-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.3
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
16%
4.2
X/2
7%
9.28
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.0
2/2
8%
7.74
2/X
8%
16.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.72/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.43
+14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
19.6 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Tenerife
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.31 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
354 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2025 Tenerife Tenerife 0-3 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
27.01.2024 Levante Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
21.10.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
06.05.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
27.08.2022 Levante Levante 2-0 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
20.05.2017 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
1-1
AWAY Tenerife
1.81 xG 0.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
292 Passes 238
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Levante vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante and Tenerife couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Levante at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Levante had 56% of the ball to Tenerife's 44%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.81 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Levante and 0.17 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Levante vs Tenerife?

Levante 1-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Levante 57%, draw 23%, Tenerife 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Levante), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
4 May 2025
17:15 Racing Ferrol vs Real Zaragoza Analysis →
19:30 Almeria vs Eldense Analysis →
22:00 Deportivo La Coruna vs Albacete Analysis →