Deportivo La Coruna 5-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.55
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
18%
4.84
X/2
10%
8.34
X/X
17%
5.08
2/1
8%
22.9
2/2
16%
5.99
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.41/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.43
-39% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.4 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Albacete
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 1.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
355 Passes 358
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-5 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
11.06.2022 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS3
26.01.2020 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
07.09.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.01.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
17.08.2018 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
5-1
AWAY Albacete
2.69 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
447 Passes 336
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
38 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna cruised past Albacete 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Deportivo La Coruna made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 56% of the ball to Albacete's 44%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.69 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.00 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Albacete?

Deportivo La Coruna 5-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 39%, draw 29%, Albacete 33%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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