Racing Ferrol 1-2 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.34
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
4%
15.6
X/1
14%
7.53
X/2
13%
4.42
X/X
15%
4.08
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.81
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
0.97/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.97
-11% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.1 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.90 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
269 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
19.05.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-2 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
25.09.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
08.03.2003 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
06.10.2002 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-2 HT 2-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-2
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.70 xG 2.39
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
345 Passes 163
75% Pass Accuracy 61%
19 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza squeezed past Racing Ferrol 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Zaragoza as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 64% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 36%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.70 to 2.39.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.40 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Real Zaragoza?

Racing Ferrol 1-2 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 31%, draw 26%, Real Zaragoza 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Zaragoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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