Real Zaragoza 1-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.97
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.35
X/1
13%
3.5
X/2
10%
12.25
X/X
11%
4.85
2/1
11%
28.0
2/2
11%
10.95
2/X
5%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+13.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.19/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.31
-37% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.2 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
312 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-2 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
25.09.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
08.03.2003 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
06.10.2002 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-2 HT 2-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
1-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.06 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
339 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza nicked a narrow win over Racing Ferrol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Zaragoza as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 55% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 45%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.06 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.50 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Racing Ferrol?

Real Zaragoza 1-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 48%, draw 24%, Racing Ferrol 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Zaragoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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