Eibar 1-1 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.19
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
11%
4.71
X/2
8%
7.02
X/X
18%
3.54
2/1
9%
33.5
2/2
13%
5.67
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.36/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.34
+33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.0 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Granada
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
255 Passes 223
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.04.2023 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
12.09.2022 Eibar Eibar 4-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
22.04.2021 Granada Granada 4-1 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS1
03.01.2021 Eibar Eibar 2-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
28.06.2020 Granada Granada 1-2 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS1
20.12.2019 Eibar Eibar 3-0 HT 2-0 Granada Granada İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
1-1
AWAY Granada
0.95 xG 0.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
348 Passes 341
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar and Granada couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Eibar had 50% of the ball to Granada's 50%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.95 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Eibar and 1.00 for Granada.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Granada?

Eibar 1-1 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eibar 41%, draw 29%, Granada 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eibar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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