Real Oviedo 2-3 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.5
X/1
18%
3.73
X/2
10%
10.25
X/X
11%
4.97
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
8%
8.56
2/X
6%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -26%
1.59/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.00
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
26.0 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cordoba
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.66 xG 1.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 310
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2019 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-3 HT 2-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
25.08.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 2-4 HT 0-2 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
24.03.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
22.10.2017 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-0 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
28.05.2017 Cordoba Cordoba 4-2 HT 3-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
17.12.2016 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-2 HT 0-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
2-3
AWAY Cordoba
1.68 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
313 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba nicked a narrow win over Real Oviedo 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 54% of the ball to Cordoba's 46%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.68 to 1.22 — the balance of chances actually favoured Real Oviedo.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Real Oviedo and 2.00 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Cordoba?

Real Oviedo 2-3 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 52%, draw 25%, Cordoba 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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