Monza 0-4 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 May 2025

Monza
0-4 HT 0-2
Atalanta
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Monza vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
18%
5.28
Away Pick
66%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.51
Over
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
23%
5.32
2-3
35%
1.99
4-5
29%
2.56
6+
13%
5.94
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.32 — our 23% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Monza v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 80%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.04/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.99
+34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +22%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 86%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
16.5 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Monza vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Atalanta
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
0.67 xG 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
486 Passes 351
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.10.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 2-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
21.04.2024 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
02.09.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 3-0 HT 2-0 Monza Monza İTA
04.06.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 5-2 HT 2-0 Monza Monza İTA
05.09.2022 Monza Monza 0-2 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA

Monza 0-4 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
0-4
AWAY Atalanta
0.81 xG 2.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
409 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 47
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Monza vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atalanta dismantled Monza 4-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%) came home.

Under the surface, Monza had 51% of the ball to Atalanta's 49%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.81 to 2.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Monza and 2.80 for Atalanta.

Monza vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Monza 0-4 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monza vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Monza 16%, draw 18%, Atalanta 66%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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