Deportivo Maipu 3-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.16/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.12
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Alvarado
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
01.09.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 1-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
14.04.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
12.09.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-1 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
04.09.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
25.04.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu cruised past Alvarado 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Maipu as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 0.60 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Alvarado?

Deportivo Maipu 3-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 46%, draw 26%, Alvarado 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maipu), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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