Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.3pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.02/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.95
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
217 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Quilmes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
19.10.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-2 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
03.06.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 1-4 HT 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
25.06.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.02.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-3 HT 2-2 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
01.03.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 2-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
14.12.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste edged past Quilmes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 37% / 29% — and on the day Ferro Carril Oeste made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quilmes led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 1.67 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Quilmes?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 34%, draw 37%, Quilmes 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
4 May 2025
01:05 Deportivo Moron vs Defensores Unidos Analysis →
21:00 Chacarita Juniors vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →
21:30 Deportivo Maipu vs Alvarado Analysis →
21:30 Talleres Remedios vs Temperley Analysis →
21:35 Tristan Suarez vs Arsenal Sarandi Analysis →
22:00 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Colon Analysis →