NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NAC Breda v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals
NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
NAC Breda
HOL2
0-2
HT 0-2
PEC Zwolle
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-1
PEC Zwolle
HOK
0-0
HT 0-0
PEC Zwolle
HOL
0-0
HT 0-0
NAC Breda
HOL
NAC Breda 1-3 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics
PEC Zwolle got the better of NAC Breda 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was NAC Breda at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, NAC Breda had 51% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 49%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.89 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NAC Breda and 1.00 for PEC Zwolle.
What was the final score of NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle?
NAC Breda 1-3 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle?
Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 44%, draw 24%, PEC Zwolle 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (NAC Breda) went the other way.