Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ Alkmaar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
17%
5.9
X/2
12%
6.18
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
14%
3.72
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.54/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.89
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.3 Crosses 13.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.27 xG 2.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
325 Passes 428
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
27.10.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-2 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
12.05.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 HT 0-2 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
13.08.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 5-1 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
25.01.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
07.08.2022 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
0-3
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.81 xG 1.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
490 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar swept aside Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Go Ahead Eagles at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 61% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 39%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 2.83 for AZ Alkmaar.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar?

Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 43%, draw 24%, AZ Alkmaar 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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