AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 27 Oct 2024

AZ Alkmaar
2-2 HT 1-0
Go Ahead Eagles
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
13%
10.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.11
X/2
11%
9.82
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
2/2
10%
7.33
2/X
6%
14.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
55%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ Alkmaar v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +21%
2.08/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.75
+21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
17.4 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.85 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 HT 0-2 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
13.08.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 5-1 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
25.01.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
07.08.2022 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
13.02.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 HT 1-3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
26.09.2021 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 5-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL

AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar
2-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.93 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
535 Passes 348
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 58% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 42%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.93 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.50 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 52%, draw 22%, Go Ahead Eagles 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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