Twente 5-0 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 27 Oct 2024

Twente
5-0 HT 2-0
Heracles
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Twente vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.13
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.43
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
23.6
X/1
21%
3.56
X/2
4%
21.45
X/X
8%
9.22
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
6%
15.35
2/X
6%
23.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-7.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v Heracles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.31/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.35
-10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
442 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
25.2 Crosses 12.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Twente vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Heracles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
372 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
22.10.2023 Heracles Heracles 2-2 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
30.04.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
05.11.2021 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
08.05.2021 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
27.02.2021 Heracles Heracles 2-2 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL

Twente 5-0 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
5-0
AWAY Heracles
2.68 xG 0.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
494 Passes 281
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Twente vs Heracles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente cruised past Heracles 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Twente had 62% of the ball to Heracles's 38%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.68 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Twente and 1.00 for Heracles.

What was the final score of Twente vs Heracles?

Twente 5-0 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Twente 65%, draw 20%, Heracles 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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