Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 May 2025

Sparta Rotterdam
0-2 HT 0-2
Twente
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Sparta Rotterdam vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
9.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
8%
5.49
X/2
12%
6.56
X/X
11%
5.09
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
18%
4.29
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sparta Rotterdam v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.47/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.30
+9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
20.6 Crosses 19.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sparta Rotterdam vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Twente
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 2.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
254 Passes 420
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 43
14 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
09.03.2024 Twente Twente 2-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
17.12.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
11.06.2023 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
08.06.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
23.04.2023 Twente Twente 3-3 HT 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
AWAY Twente
0.97 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
355 Passes 359
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente saw off Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Twente found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 49% of the ball to Twente's 51%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.97 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.67 for Twente.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Twente?

Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 37%, draw 24%, Twente 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
4 May 2025
13:15 NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle Analysis →
15:30 Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar Analysis →