Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 4 May 2025

Zenit St. Petersburg
2-1 HT 0-1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.02
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.33
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
28.5
X/1
20%
3.7
X/2
6%
29.5
X/X
7%
9.37
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
3%
27.5
2/X
6%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-11.1pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.6pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -3%
2.35/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.00
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
39.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
24.1 Crosses 11.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.78 xG 0.46
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
527 Passes 204
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
09.12.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
22.07.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
04.03.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
16.10.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
21.05.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg nicked a narrow win over Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.17 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 68%, draw 19%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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