Khimki 1-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.53
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
16%
5.73
X/2
10%
5.95
X/X
12%
5.46
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
21%
3.74
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.61/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.31
-2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
14.9 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rostov
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
251 Passes 305
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Rostov Rostov 3-1 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
02.10.2024 Khimki Khimki 2-2 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUK
13.08.2024 Rostov Rostov 3-1 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUK
02.04.2024 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUSK
19.03.2023 Khimki Khimki 0-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
31.07.2022 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
1-1
AWAY Rostov
2.38 xG 0.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
223 Passes 313
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki and Rostov shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Khimki had 44% of the ball to Rostov's 56%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.38 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khimki and 1.67 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Rostov?

Khimki 1-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Khimki 37%, draw 25%, Rostov 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ BTTS Yes
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