Fakel 0-0 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 4 May 2025

Fakel
0-0 HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Fakel vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.59
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
7%
18.0
X/1
7%
11.15
X/2
20%
4.0
X/X
14%
5.09
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.03
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fakel v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.30/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.87
-33% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
21.9 Crosses 20.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Fakel vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 2.24
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
155 Passes 394
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
10.03.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-2 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
28.10.2023 Fakel Fakel 2-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
11.03.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-2 HT 2-2 Fakel Fakel RUS
19.10.2022 Fakel Fakel 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
15.09.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Fakel Fakel RUK

Fakel 0-0 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-0
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.93 xG 0.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
219 Passes 321
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and Spartak Moskova played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Fakel had 44% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 56%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.93 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fakel and 1.83 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Spartak Moskova?

Fakel 0-0 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fakel 18%, draw 29%, Spartak Moskova 53%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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