Rostov 3-1 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.42
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
22%
4.31
X/2
9%
8.17
X/X
14%
5.27
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
8%
5.88
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.25/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.63
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.1 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Khimki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.64 xG 0.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 301
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2024 Khimki Khimki 2-2 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUK
13.08.2024 Rostov Rostov 3-1 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUK
02.04.2024 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUSK
19.03.2023 Khimki Khimki 0-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
31.07.2022 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
14.05.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
3-1
AWAY Khimki
1.91 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
239 Passes 237
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
47 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov saw off Khimki 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rostov had 50% of the ball to Khimki's 50%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.91 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rostov and 0.67 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Khimki?

Rostov 3-1 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rostov 49%, draw 27%, Khimki 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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