Dinamo Moscow 3-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.52
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.35
X/1
23%
3.62
X/2
6%
17.35
X/X
8%
8.04
2/1
8%
20.55
2/2
10%
12.5
2/X
7%
20.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-15.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.83/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.77
-2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +40%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 70%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
18.8 Crosses 11.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.88 xG 1.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
401 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-4 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
02.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
15.09.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
25.07.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
15.04.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
27.08.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow got the better of Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.17 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Dinamo Moscow 3-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 55%, draw 22%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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