Portuguesa FC 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.03/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.05
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.4 Crosses 20.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
05.10.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
27.08.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
11.03.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.06.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
1-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.76 xG 0.87
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
439 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira edged past Portuguesa FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 64% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 36%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 0.76 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.33 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Portuguesa FC 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 30%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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