Belouizdad 3-1 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.03/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.77
+25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belouizdad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
12.02.2025 Belouizdad Belouizdad 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
02.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-0 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
04.05.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-1 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
07.10.2023 Belouizdad Belouizdad 2-3 HT 2-2 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
10.07.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 4-0 HT 2-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belouizdad
3-1
AWAY USM Khenchela
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belouizdad beat USM Khenchela 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Belouizdad as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Belouizdad had 53% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 47%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Khenchela led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Belouizdad and 1.67 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela?

Belouizdad 3-1 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 65%, draw 23%, USM Khenchela 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belouizdad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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