USM Khenchela 1-1 Belouizdad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
48%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.94
2-3 Goals
46%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.93
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
30%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.7pp
48%
Away Win
38%
+10.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
0.90/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.70
-6% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Belouizdad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.02.2025 Belouizdad Belouizdad 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
02.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-0 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
04.05.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-1 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
07.10.2023 Belouizdad Belouizdad 2-3 HT 2-2 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
10.07.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 4-0 HT 2-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
11.12.2022 Belouizdad Belouizdad 2-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
1-1
AWAY Belouizdad
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs Belouizdad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela and Belouizdad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Belouizdad at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 45% of the ball to Belouizdad's 55%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Khenchela had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.33 for Belouizdad.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs Belouizdad?

USM Khenchela 1-1 Belouizdad in the Algeria - 1st Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs Belouizdad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 22%, draw 30%, Belouizdad 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Belouizdad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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