Paradou 0-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.55
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradou EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -30%
1.02/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.09
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradou
3W-1D-2L
AWAY USM Alger
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Paradou Paradou 3-1 HT 2-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
28.01.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-1 Paradou Paradou CZYR
11.02.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 1-5 HT 0-2 Paradou Paradou CZYR
27.09.2023 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
25.10.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 2-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
25.01.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 2-1 Paradou Paradou CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradou
0-1
AWAY USM Alger
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paradou vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger edged past Paradou 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paradou at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Paradou had 42% of the ball to USM Alger's 58%, shots finished 6-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paradou had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paradou and 1.17 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of Paradou vs USM Alger?

Paradou 0-1 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradou vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradou win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paradou 41%, draw 29%, USM Alger 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paradou) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paradou) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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