CA Bizertin 1-2 AS Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
12%
6.82
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.18/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.17
+6% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Bizertin
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AS Marsa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 2-2 HT 0-1 AS Marsa AS Marsa TNUSK
05.11.2025 AS Marsa AS Marsa 2-0 HT 2-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
01.06.2024 AS Marsa AS Marsa 2-2 HT 1-1 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN
09.03.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-0 HT 1-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN
25.11.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 3-1 HT 1-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN1B
17.09.2023 AS Marsa AS Marsa 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Bizertin
1-2
AWAY AS Marsa
74% Ball Possession 26%
26 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa nicked a narrow win over CA Bizertin 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was CA Bizertin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA Bizertin had 74% of the ball to AS Marsa's 26%, shots finished 26-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Bizertin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CA Bizertin and 1.17 for AS Marsa.

What was the final score of CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?

CA Bizertin 1-2 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Bizertin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CA Bizertin 46%, draw 31%, AS Marsa 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CA Bizertin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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