Zarzis 3-1 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
12%
6.68
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
20%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zarzis EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +20%
0.48/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.72
-42% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zarzis
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
05.11.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 HT 1-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1
09.03.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 HT 0-1 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1
24.11.2024 Zarzis Zarzis 2-3 HT 2-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
16.03.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 0-3 HT 0-2 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zarzis
3-1
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zarzis vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zarzis got the better of Etoile Du Sahel 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Zarzis made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zarzis had 56% of the ball to Etoile Du Sahel's 44%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Zarzis and 1.75 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of Zarzis vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Zarzis 3-1 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zarzis vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zarzis win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Zarzis 35%, draw 32%, Etoile Du Sahel 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zarzis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zarzis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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