Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.04
6+ Goals
6%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.37/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.53
+23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Zarzis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 HT 0-1 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1
24.11.2024 Zarzis Zarzis 2-3 HT 2-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
16.03.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 0-3 HT 0-2 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1B
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Du Sahel edged past Zarzis 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Etoile Du Sahel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 1.00 for Zarzis.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs Zarzis?

Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 Zarzis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 39%, draw 32%, Zarzis 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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