ES Metlaoui 2-2 Monastir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
39%
2.77
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
7.07
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
39%
Draw
32%
+6.8pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Monastir EU Bookmakers 36%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +10%
1.08/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.43
+32% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +100%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Monastir
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
3 Corners 5
11.05.2025 Monastir Monastir 1-1 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
04.01.2025 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1
21.04.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-2 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TNUSK
27.12.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-3 HT 0-2 Monastir Monastir TUN1B
24.09.2023 Monastir Monastir 3-2 HT 2-2 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
25.01.2023 Monastir Monastir 1-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Monastir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui and Monastir couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 39% / 26% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monastir led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.67 for Monastir.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Monastir?

ES Metlaoui 2-2 Monastir in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Monastir?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 35%, draw 39%, Monastir 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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