İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 2-1 Macaristan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jun 2024

📅04/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.02
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.36
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
10%
5.59
X/2
12%
4.98
X/X
11%
3.76
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.71
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Macaristan EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.78/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.66
+25% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +114%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
17.0 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Macaristan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.85 xG 0.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 481
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2021 Macaristan Macaristan 0-0 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti HAZ
04.06.2012 Macaristan Macaristan 0-0 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
2-1
AWAY Macaristan
1.51 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
383 Passes 526
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Macaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti nicked a narrow win over Macaristan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; İrlanda Cumhuriyeti found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti had 44% of the ball to Macaristan's 56%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 1.51 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti and 0.00 for Macaristan.

What was the final score of İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Macaristan?

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 2-1 Macaristan in the Friendlies on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Macaristan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macaristan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 35%, draw 29%, Macaristan 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Macaristan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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