Romanya 0-0 Bulgaristan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jun 2024

📅04/06/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.62
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.55
X/1
15%
3.96
X/2
7%
9.26
X/X
18%
4.0
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
8%
7.93
2/X
8%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -21%
0.30/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.91
+4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
9.0 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Bulgaristan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
07.02.2015 Romanya Romanya 0-0 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan HAZ
17.11.2007 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 1-0 HT 1-0 Romanya Romanya AVR
02.09.2006 Romanya Romanya 2-2 HT 1-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya
0-0
AWAY Bulgaristan
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
401 Passes 266
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Romanya vs Bulgaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya and Bulgaristan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Romanya at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Romanya had 55% of the ball to Bulgaristan's 45%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bulgaristan led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Romanya and 1.00 for Bulgaristan.

What was the final score of Romanya vs Bulgaristan?

Romanya 0-0 Bulgaristan in the Friendlies on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya vs Bulgaristan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Romanya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Romanya 50%, draw 30%, Bulgaristan 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Romanya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Romanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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