Slovenya 2-1 Ermenistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jun 2024

📅04/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovenya EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.75/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.65
-62% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -29%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovenya
2-1
AWAY Ermenistan
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
359 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovenya vs Ermenistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovenya nicked a narrow win over Ermenistan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slovenya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Slovenya had 52% of the ball to Ermenistan's 48%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Slovenya vs Ermenistan?

Slovenya 2-1 Ermenistan in the Friendlies on 04/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovenya vs Ermenistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovenya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Slovenya 59%, draw 25%, Ermenistan 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovenya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovenya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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