ES Ben Aknoun 2-2 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 4 Jun 2026

📅04/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -10%
1.33/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.26
+3% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
1W-1D-1L
AWAY USM Alger
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.12.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 2-2 HT 2-1 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun CZYR
30.05.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 0-2 HT 0-1 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun CZYR
23.01.2024 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 1-2 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
2-2
AWAY USM Alger
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Ben Aknoun and USM Alger couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was ES Ben Aknoun at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, ES Ben Aknoun had 49% of the ball to USM Alger's 51%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ES Ben Aknoun and 1.33 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?

ES Ben Aknoun 2-2 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 04/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Ben Aknoun win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ES Ben Aknoun 44%, draw 23%, USM Alger 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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